COVID-19 infection growth rates, lagged mortality rates, and other interesting statistics

So where are we?

COVID-19 Global Summary StatisticsMortality Rate:      3.42% 
Already Recovered: 53.79%
Still in Treatment: 42.78%
How to calculate these values:0.0719 = 11/153, where 0.0719 is current mortality rate in the US, with 11 deaths and 153 confirmed cases.0.034 = 11/x, substituting 0.0719 with 0.034, the global average mortality rate, and x is the unknown variable.x = 11/0.034 ≈ 324Author's note: The above values are purely speculative estimations using simple mathematical modeling and are not confirmed by the CDC nor any national public authority. 
Indivual Country Mortality RatesCountry              Rate  Cases  Deaths
US 7.19% 153 11.0
Iraq 5.71% 35 2.0
Australia 3.85% 52 2.0
Mainland China 3.71% 80271 2981.0
Italy 3.46% 3089 107.0
Iran 3.15% 2922 92.0
Thailand 2.33% 43 1.0
Japan 1.81% 331 6.0
France 1.4% 285 4.0
Spain 0.9% 222 2.0
South Korea 0.62% 5621 35.0
Note: The Philippines with 3 confirmed cases and one confirmed death is an outlier and excluded from the table and chart above.

No longer in a low-growth world

COVID-19 Median Daily Growth RatesCase Growth Rate             5.6%
In Treatment Growth Rate 4.1%
Recovery Growth Rate 16.2%
Mortality Growth Rate 9.3%
Dotted horizontal lines are medians.

Founder, CEO and Chief Scientist @ Invariant Studios

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